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Monday, January 29, 2018

Darvish deal expected to be completed this week

Yu Darvish, arguably the top free-agent starting pitcher this winter, is expected to come off the market this week, according to MLB Network insider Jon Heyman, and the Cubs are reportedly the favorites to sign the right-hander.

The Twins, Brewers, Phillies and Yankees have also been linked to Darvish, with Milwaukee and Minnesota having reportedly made offers. However, the Twins are not willing to go beyond a five-year commitment, per Heyman, and view right-hander Alex Cobb as a potential backup should they not sign Darvish.

The Cubs have been in the market for starters all winter, as two members of their 2017 rotation, Jake Arrieta and John Lackey, are free agents. They have been long rumored to potentially bring Arrieta back -- particularly with how slow this offseason's free-agent market has progressed -- but have been more strongly linked to Darvish. The Cubs have already signed former Rockies starter Tyler Chatwood to a three-year, $38 million deal to shore up the back end of their rotation.

Darvish posted a 3.86 ERA in 31 starts with the Rangers and Dodgers last season, including a 3.44 ERA over nine starts down the stretch for Los Angeles following a deal just before the non-waiver Trade Deadline. The four-time All-Star was also excellent in the first two rounds of the postseason, posting a 1.59 ERA in two starts over the National League Division Series and the NL Championship Series. He was hit hard by the Astros over two World Series starts, surrend

Sunday, January 28, 2018

Machado shifting to short, Beckham to 3B

Manny Machado is naturally a shortshop, but Buck Showalter and the Baltimor Orioles have been placing him at third base for years.

Machado has played much of his first six seasons in the Major Leagues at third while J.J. Hardy was positioned at short.

But now that Hardy left Baltimore this offseason, Machado may very well man shortstop. Tim Beckham would shift to third base.

"There could be some adjustments down in [Spring Training]," Showalter said. "That's where we're going to head into it and there's a chance we could adjust from there. But I've talk to both Manny and Tim about it and we think it's our best setup right now."

When Hardy missed time because of a left foot fracture in 2016, Machado took over for 43 games at shortstop but slid back over to third in 2017 and stayed there after the Orioles traded for Beckham. Machado spent a majority of his time in the Minor Leagues at short.

Beckham has appeared in nine career games at third, but showed the versatility to play both second base and shortstop during parts of four seasons with the Rays.

Thursday, January 25, 2018

Mets, Jose Reyes agree to one-year deal; source

The New York Mets and Jose Reyes are reuniting after the two sides agreed to a one-year contract, a source confirmed to MLB.com's Anthony DiComo. MLB Network's Ken Rosenthal was first to report the deal, which is pending a physical.

According to Rosenthal, Reyes is returning to New York with the "understanding he will fill a utility role." Rosenthal adds that the club is still looking for an everyday second baseman.

Reyes has played the past two seasons with the Mets, batting a combined .253/.319/.423 with 23 home runs and 82 RBIs while stealing 33 bases in 205 games.

The 34-year-old played in 145 games in 2017 for New York at a number of different positions. His 15 home runs were his most in a season since 2008, when he hit 16 with the Mets.

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Blue Jays sign OF Granderson to one-year, $5 million deal

The Toronto Blue Jags have officially signed free agent outfielder Granderson to a one-year, $5 million contract.

Granderson, 36, posted a .212 batting average in 2017 with 24 doubles, 26 home runs and an OPS of .775 in 147 games. The Chicago, Illinois, native appeared in 111 games for the New York Mets before his trade to the LA Dodgers where he appeared in 36 regular season games.

Granderson, who is entering his 15th season in the MLB, is a three time All-Star (2009, 2011, and 2012), Silver Slugger (2011) and was named the 2016 Roberto Clemente Award winner. The left-handed hitter holds a career batting average of .252 with 319 home runs an OPS of .812. 

Granderson will get $1.5 million in incentives for plate appearances.

Friday, January 19, 2018

Mets invite nine to major league camp

The Mets announced on Friday that the club has invited nine players to major league Spring Training including: first baseman Peter Alonso, LHP P.J. Conlon, outfielder Kevin Kaczmarski, catcher Patrick Mazeika, RHP Drew Smith, RHP Corey Taylor, outfielder Tim Tebow, infielder David Thompson and RHP Adonis Uceta. 

The Mets have previously invited outfielder Zach Borenstein, infielder Phil Evans, catcher José Lobatón and LHP Matt Purke to major league camp. 

Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Giants still looking for OF upgrades

Fresh off acquiring Andrew McCutchen from the Pirates on Monday, the Giants are trying to add even more talent to their outfield, with the former National League Most Valuable Player being told that he'll play a corner spot with the team this season, according to ESPN's Buster Olney.

San Francisco's main desire is to upgrade defensively in center field, and sources tell ESPN's Jerry Crasnick that the Giants rank Jarrod Dyson as their most coveted option behind Lorenzo Cain. The club is also interested in Jon Jay and Cameron Maybin, according to Crasnick, but values Dyson's "speed, defensive metrics and stolen-base ability."

The Giants, after bringing in McCutchen via a trade with the Pirates, do not have the space under the luxury-tax threshold to sign Cain at his projected salary, according to MLB.com's Jon Paul Morosi. Morosi reported that the club is looking to add a "defense-first player" in center field "who will be less expensive than Cain."

Dyson, Jay and Maybin will certainly all be less expensive than the former Royals center fielder, and Dyson led that group with seven Outs Above Average last season, according to Statcast™. Maybin was at plus-2 two while Jay was minus-3.

Dyson, 33, has stolen at least 25 bases in each of the past six seasons and would be a big boost to a Giants club that ranked 20th in the Majors with 76 steals last year. Jay has 51 steals in eight Major League seasons, but his .738 career on-base-plus-slugging percentage bests Dyson's .677 total.

Maybin owns a career .693 OPS and stole 33 bases during his time split between the Astros and Angels last season.

Castellanos on the trade block?

While the Tigers were ultimately able to avoid an arbitration hearing with Nicholas Castellanos, Anthony Fenech of the Detroit Free Press reports that Detroit remains open to trading the rising slugger, citing multiple clubs that have engaged in discussions with the Tigers this offseason.

Castellanos, 25, agreed to a one-year, $6.05 million contract with the Tigers on Friday. Detroit's first-round Draft choice from 2010 is about to embark on his first full season in right field, but Fenech reports that the Tigers' uncertainty about his defensive ability could still lead to a trade before Opening Day. Castellanos has primarily manned third base during his first four full seasons in the Motor City, but he has rated below average in terms of Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) in each of those campaigns. He played 21 games in right last season.

Castellanos' prowess at the plate is much less in doubt. He broke out for a career-high 26 home runs and 101 RBIs for the Tigers in 2017 while recording a league-adjusted 110 OPS+ (where 100 is average) and pacing the American League with 10 triples. He was even more productive in some respects in '16, finishing with a 120 OPS+ over 110 games. While Castellanos will be eligible for arbitration again next winter, he will not test the free-agent market until 2020. That means Castellanos, for the moment, represents a controllable, relatively cheap hitter coming into his own -- regardless of his defensive ability.

Tigers general manager Al Avila revealed at the Winter Meetings that the team approached Castellanos about a contract extension toward the end of last season, but that no progress has been made.

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Mets agree to terms with 1B Adrian Gonzalez, pending physical

The New York Mets have reached a deal with veteran first baseman Adrian Gonzalez, pending a physical, according to multiple reports.

A five-time All-Star best known for his time with the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, the 35-year-old played in just 71 games for the Dodgers last season and missed their postseason run due to back problems.

Gonzalez was traded to the Atlanta Braves after the season in a package deal that saw Matt Kemp return to Los Angeles while providing the team with luxury tax relief. The Braves released Gonzalez shortly after the trade.

Terms of the deal with the Mets have not been reported. Gonzalez is still due almost $17 million guaranteed in his previous contract from Atlanta and $4.5 million from Los Angeles, leaving him available to sign for the league minimum.

The Mets have 22-year-old Dominic Smith, a 2013 first-round pick, at first base. He has yet to prove reliable against MLB pitching, posting a .198 average with nine home runs and 26 RBI in 167 at-bats last season.

Friday, January 12, 2018

Designated litter? Time for DHs to clean up

By Andrew Simon
MLB.com

Since the American League implemented the designated hitter in 1973, the role has been a consistent source of both controversy and offensive firepower.

Whatever one thinks of designated hitters, they hit. It's right there in the name. And indeed, AL DHs posted a collective .769 OPS in 2015 and .780 in '16, to rank second and first, respectively, among all positions in those seasons.

In that context, what happened in 2017 is jarring. AL DHs produced a mere .735 OPS, putting them just behind shortstops (.736) and ahead of only catchers (.716) for eighth among AL positions (excluding pitcher).

Meanwhile, as a whole, AL hitters generated an OPS of .753, putting DHs 18 points below that mark, the largest negative difference in history. In fact, only once before since the position was created have AL DHs underperformed the league average OPS. In contrast, AL DHs outperformed the league average by 39 points in 2015 and 36 points in '16.

Lowest AL DH OPS, relative to overall AL OPS
1. -18 points -- 2017 (.735 vs. 753 overall)
2. -12 points -- 1985 (.721 vs. .733 overall)
3. +1 point -- 2013 (.726 vs. .725 overall)
4. +4 points -- 1989 (.713 vs. .709 overall)
4. +4 points -- 1974 (.698 vs. .694 overall)

Among the 15 AL clubs, only the Nelson Cruz-led Mariners and Edwin Encarnacion-led Indians posted an OPS of .760 or better from the DH spot. Six teams, including the World Series champion Astros, came in below the .700 plateau.

So why didn't designated hitters, you know, hit? Here is a look at three causes for this drastic dropoff:

The Big Papi Factor

When a legendary hitter still in peak form hangs up his lumber, his absence is going to create a void.

David Ortiz spent the vast majority of his career at DH, where he posted a .942 OPS. Even at age 40 in 2016, his 1.033 OPS as a DH ranked fourth all-time for a single season (minimum 600 plate appearances), and second for Ortiz personally behind his 1.080 mark in '07.

With Ortiz gone, the Red Sox turned over the DH reins mostly to Hanley Ramirez, who had a solid but un-Papi-like .771 OPS in 474 plate appearances in that role. Another 118 plate appearances went to Chris Young and Dustin Pedroia, who combined for a .547 mark. This dropoff might help explain Boston's reported interest in free-agent slugger J.D. Martinez.

Veteran blues

This past season was just the fourth in which there were as many as four players who posted a sub-.700 OPS as a DH in at least 300 plate appearances. In contrast, there was just one such player in each of the previous four years to do so.

• In his 20th and final big league season, 40-year-old Carlos Beltran produced a .670 OPS in 448 DH plate appearances for the Astros.

• Battling health issues in his age-38 season, Victor Martinez notched a .694 OPS in 432 plate appearances as the Tigers' DH.

• The Angels' Albert Pujols put up by far the weakest rate stats of his Hall of Fame career, including a .678 OPS in 611 DH plate appearances in his age-37 season.

• Coming off a stellar offensive campaign in 2016, 31-year-old Mark Trumbo returned to the Orioles only to generate a .635 OPS in his 467 plate appearances as a DH.

Combined, these four highly accomplished hitters lost an average of 131 points off the OPS they produced in the DH role in 2016.

Role reversal

Both Lucas Duda and Miguel Sano swung the bat effectively in 2017 -- but only when they played the field.

In 92 games as a first baseman, Duda slashed .242/.342/.572 (.914 OPS), including .225/.326/.675 (1.001 OPS) after the Mets traded him to the Rays in late July. But in 24 games as a DH -- all with Tampa Bay -- the left-handed slugger managed a .136/.240/.250 line (.490 OPS).

Sano raked as a DH as a rookie in 2015 (.908 OPS) but has struggled in that role since. This past season, he generated just a .182/.294/.261 line in 25 games as the Twins' DH while slashing a robust .287/.369/.575 (.944 OPS) at the corner infield spots.

Baseball-Reference's tOPS+ stat compares a player's OPS for a particular split to his overall OPS, with a tOPS+ of less than 100 indicating that the player performed worse in that split. As DHs in 2017, Duda and Sano had respective tOPS+ of 25 and 35 -- two of the four lowest in history for a player with at least 100 DH plate appearances in a season. Houston's Evan Gattis (55) also ranked 21st on that list.

These are small samples, so that doesn't mean either player can't perform at DH. However, the drastic 2017 splits of Duda, Sano, Gattis and some others certainly contributed to the plunge in overall DH performance.

Conclusions

While AL DHs saw their OPS plummet 45 points from 2016 to '17, that drop can be explained almost entirely by the combination of that quartet of Beltran, Trumbo, Martinez and Pujojs struggling and Ortiz's retirement.

Take the 2017 OPS of .735, and replace Beltran, Martinez, Pujols and Trumbo's DH splits with their splits from '16. Then replace Ramirez's '17 splits with Ortiz's from the year before. The result is a line nearly identical to what AL DHs produced in '16.

2016 AL DHs: .328 OBP, .452 SLG, .780 OPS
2017 adjusted: .329 OBP, .448 SLG, .777 OPS

There's no sign that Big Papi is coming back, but there still is reason to think that the DH decline of 2017 will turn out to be a blip. It's not just that established hitters could bounce back, or simply produce more favorable splits. Here are four other potential avenues for improvement:

• As mentioned, the best hitter on the free-agent market, J.D. Martinez, remains available. While he has mostly played the outfield throughout his career, his poor defensive numbers could make him a DH in 2018, depending on his destination.

• Shohei Ohtani was a two-way sensation with the Nippon-Ham Fighters, but it remains to be seen how his eye-popping offensive numbers will translate -- if the Angels even give him an extended opportunity at the plate. Still, an Ohtani/Pujols DH combo is an intriguing thought.

• Khris Davis has developed into one of the game's top sluggers in Oakland. His .886 OPS as a DH from 2016-17 trailed only Ortiz and Cruz (minimum 300 plate appearances), and his time in that role could increase dramatically after the A's traded Ryon Healy to Seattle earlier this offseason.

• Giancarlo Stanton only got to DH in the occasional Interleague game with the Marlins but had no trouble doing it, batting .333/.390/.630 with four home runs in 59 plate appearances. Now, with Stanton joining a crowded New York outfield, either he or Aaron Judge could fill that spot in the lineup in most of the club's games.

Andrew Simon is a research analyst for MLB.com. Follow him on Twitter @AndrewSimonMLB.

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Indians sign Cody Allen to one-year deal

On Wednesday night, the Indians agreed to terms with closer Cody Allen on a one-year contract for the 2018 campaign, avoiding arbitration with the closer in his final year of eligibility.

The pact is worth $10.575 million, according to the Associated Press. Next offseason, both Allen and relief ace Andrew Miller -- the primary weapons within the Tribe's bullpen -- will be eligible for free agency. Allen, who earned $7.35 million last season, had 30 saves to go along with a 2.94 ERA and 92 strikeouts in 67 1/3 innings (69 appearances) for the American League Central-champion Indians in '17.

The right-hander has logged a minimum of 67 games and 67 1/3 innings in each of the past five years for Cleveland, which selected him in the 23rd round of the 2011 Draft.

Mets sign Jay Bruce to 3-year, $39 million contract

Three-time All-Star outfielder Jay Bruce is returning to the Mets on a three-year, $39 million deal, according to MLB Network insider Ken Rosenthal.

Bruce continued to swing a powerful bat in 2017, recording an impressive 40.3 percent hard-hit rate with an average fly-ball distance of 332 feet, per Statcast. As a result, the veteran finished with the highest homer total (36) and the second-best RBI mark (101) of his 10-year career.

While the Mets and Citi Field do not present an ideal landing spot for the slugger, he should produce at least 30 homers and 95 RBIs while working with Yoenis Cespedes to form a potent pair in the heart of the lineup.

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Nationals reportedly considering Lynn

The Nationals are already above the $197 million luxury-tax threshold but are looking into options to shore up their rotation. According to a report from MLB Network insider Ken Rosenthal, the team is eyeing free-agent right-hander Lance Lynn.

Washington is currently slated to have A.J. Cole as its fifth starter with Joe Ross a possibility to start late in the season as he recovers from July 2017 Tommy John surgery. The Nationals could also stand to add starting-pitching depth, as Gio Gonzalez and Tanner Roark are set to hit free agency after the 2018 and 2019 seasons, respectively.

The luxury tax could become a problem for the Nationals, as they already project for a $201.4 million payroll, according to Cot's Baseball Contracts. They paid a $1.43 million penalty for surpassing the threshold last season, and their penalty rate will increase from 20 to 30 percent this season. That penalty will further increase should their payroll exceed $217 million.

Earlier in the offseason, the Nationals were connected to top free-agent starters Jake Arrieta and Yu Darvish, but Lynn would prove to be a cheaper option.

Lynn, 30, had an excellent 2017 season with the Cardinals after missing the previous year recovering from Tommy John surgery. He went 11-8 with a 3.43 ERA and 153 strikeouts over 186 1/3 innings. He held an ERA under 4.00 in each of his six seasons.

If Lynn joined the Nationals, he would be reunited with pitching coach Derek Lilliquist, who had been the Cardinals' pitching coach throughout Lynn's tenure in St. Louis. Lynn has also been connected to the Rangers, Brewers and Orioles, among other teams.

Orioles said to meet with Cashner

The Orioles are looking to add upwards of three starters this offseason and have recently met with free-agent right-hander Andrew Cashner, according to a report from MLB Network insider Ken Rosenthal.

Cashner, 31, had a nice bounce-back season with the Rangers, going 11-11 with a 3.40 ERA over 166 2/3 innings. However, he had a career-worst 4.64 K/9 and benefited from a .266 BABIP, which was the second-lowest mark among qualified American League starters.

Cashner will likely command a multiyear contract after settling for a one-year, $10 million contract last offseason to re-establish his value.

Baltimore is returning only Kevin Gausman and Dylan Bundy to its rotation after the departures of Chris Tillman, Wade Miley and Ubaldo Jimenez. Their internal options include Gabriel Ynoa, Alec Asher and Miguel Castro, but the team would like to make additions from outside the organization.

D-backs in pursuit of Machado

The D-backs have been the "most persistent" of the several clubs looking to trade for Orioles star third baseman Manny Machado, but the sides are not close to a deal, sources told MLB Network insider Ken Rosenthal.

Arizona has been one of the many teams in pursuit of Machado since Baltimore began fielding offers for the 25-year-old infielder. While the Yankees and Red Sox have been two of the other clubs reportedly interested, Rosenthal notes it would likely be difficult for executive vice president of baseball operations Dan Duquette "to sell owner Peter Angelos" on a deal to an American League East rival.

Rival executives see Machado opening the season in Baltimore, according to Rosenthal. The Orioles seem to be only willing to deal their former first-round Draft pick for a big return that would likely have to include multiple young starting pitchers.

Rosenthal discusses Machado06:3011:18 AM ET

Machado can be a free agent following the 2018 season. As Rosenthal noted, Orioles center fielder Adam Jones and relievers Brad Brach and Zach Britton are also eligible to hit the open market at the same time. Additionally, the contracts of Duquette and manager Buck Showalter are due to expire at the end of this season, meaning it could be Baltimore's final year with its current core group.

Machado is a .279/.329/.476 hitter with 138 home runs and 406 RBIs in 764 games over six Major League seasons, while also being regarded annually as one of the best defensive third basemen in the game.

A two-time Gold Glove Award winner, Machado has requested a move to shortstop, his natural position. It's a move that could increase his value even more as he looks to land a large contract next offseason.

Castro requests trade from Marlins

Starlin Castro, acquired in the December deal that sent slugger Giancarlo Stanton to the Yankees, has requested a trade from Miami, sources told MLB Network insider Ken Rosenthal.

Castro "does not want to be a part of another rebuilding process" as he was when he was with the Cubs from 2010-15.

The Marlins are in the midst of a full rebuild, and it's been expected that Miami would try to flip Castro to another team. MLB.com's Joe Frisaro reported last week that the Marlins might ultimately keep the 27-year-old infielder.

Castro is to make nearly $11 million in 2018 and almost $12 million in 2019. His contract comes with a $16 million club option for 2020.

Castro, a four-time All-Star, batted .283/.317/.442 with 37 home runs and 133 RBIs in 263 games over two seasons with the Yankees after hitting .281/.321/.404 with 62 homers and 363 RBIs across six seasons with the Cubs.